August 11, 2016

New Quinnipiac Poll: McGinty, Toomey Too Close To Call At 47 To 44 Percent

A new Quinnipiac Poll released Thursday has Katie McGinty leading incumbent Pat Toomey 47 to 44 percent with likely voters, but the results are “too close to call,” according to the Quinnipiac folks.
Two other polls this week show them close as well: NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll: McGinty 48 percent, Toomey 44 percent and the Susquehanna Poll: McGinty 42 to Toomey’s 40 percent.
And if you want more results, look at these from last week.
The Public Policy Poll has Toomey beating McGinty, but just barely 42 to 41 percent.  The Franklin & Marshall Poll has McGinty leading Toomey 39 to 38 percent among likely voters, but 38 to 30 percent among registered voters.
The gender and racial gaps are wide in the Pennsylvania Senate race, according to Quinnipiac. Women back Democratic challenger Katie McGinty 52 - 38 percent, while men back Republican incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey 51 - 41 percent. White voters go 51 percent for Toomey and 42 percent for McGinty. Non-white voters go Democratic 71 - 12 percent.
Toomey leads among Republicans 85 - 7 percent. McGinty takes Democrats 85 - 8 percent. Independent voters are divided, with 46 percent for Toomey and 44 percent for McGinty.
"Is Katie McGinty benefitting from Hillary Clinton's 10-point lead over Donald Trump in Pennsylvania? Is she engaging Sen. Pat Toomey in her own right, or is it a little bit of both?" asked Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "Any way you cut it, this first-timer is giving the incumbent a run for his money."
How McGinty Gained Ground On Toomey